Hey, here’s the real story for today.

Small‑cap and cyclical stocks took the spotlight, China’s equity rally outpaced global peers, and Wall Street remained optimistic on September rate‑cut odds, despite a few concerns on the regulatory and geopolitical front.

Underdogs Outpace Big Tech

August ended with surprising strength from small‑caps and cyclicals. The Russell 2000 surged over 7.3%, driven by materials (+5.6%), consumer discretionary (+4.3%), and financials (+2.6%), all outperforming tech, which lagged behind at just +1.3%. Broad market momentum supported the longest winning streak for the equal‑weight S&P 500 in years, signaling that gains are spreading beyond megacaps.

China’s Market Outperformance

Overseas, China’s CSI 300 index impressed, up 14.3% year‑to‑date. A combination of easing trade tensions, low domestic rates, and strong participation from local investors (margin trading up nearly 19%) helped A‑shares outperform their U.S. and global counterparts.

Fed Rate-Cut Dreams Remain Center Stage

Markets are still rallying on expectations for a September Fed rate cut. Futures show an 85% likelihood, bolstered by cooling job data and soft inflation. Fed Chair Powell's comments have kept hopes intact, and history suggests that rate‑cut delays often fuel further upside in equities.

Final Word

Today’s theme? A shift toward wider market participation and global strength, not just tech dominance. China’s rally adds international fuel, while the Fed rate-cut narrative continues to pull markets higher. Stay alert, September could bring fireworks as data and policy collide.

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